BIG MARLEY’S UFC 229 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

John549353

This weekend we have the largest competition we’ve ever seen for DraftKings MMA. We’ve got a $10 entrance contest with $300,000 in total prizes, and $100,000 of the to 1st place. I never thought we would observe a 6-figure 1st place prize for MMA but that I was incorrect and I can not wait to pursue it. Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is going to be the biggest fight in UFC history and DraftKings simply made it even bigger for us DFS players. We are down to 12-fights so that we can see a number of ties for this 1st place prize, therefore try to be different with your lineups somewhere, or leave wages on the dining table to be different in this manner. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I enjoy this weekend along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Luque is the”safest” drama on the card with a good margin in his -900 betting line. I love plugging in these high odds guys in cash so that I can lock a triumph in there and worry about finding 3 other wins out of my 5 additional areas. We usually only want 4 wins in money games to beat the money line, so that’s what I shoot for in these 50/50 or twice up games. Luque has been very remarkable in his UFC run and he’s beat some fairly big names. On paper, this is only one of the easiest matches nonetheless. He also has big time upside with his completing potential. He has an ITD line of -270, so I think we could have 100+ points in this triumph. He is a fantastic play in most formats, however he is going to be chalky in tournaments, so that is why he is my money play of this week instead.
GPP play of this week — Alexander Volkov ($8,700)
Heavyweights are always good to target in GPPs since it only takes 1 shot with a lot of those guys. I believe that this is a great matchup for Volkov and he’s priced at $8.7k weekly. If he can find a 1st round KO at that price, he’ll likely be on the winning LU. Same is true for Lewis, therefore he is a solid GPP play as well. However, my pick to win will be Volkov and that I enjoy his price. I think a few guys priced above him this week will be much more possessed, therefore we could find a heavyweight favored at lower possession . Fight Doesn’t Go To Decision is presently lined at -190, so this is a good GPP struggle to target over all. If you like the Black Beast to find the W, then he’s a fantastic fighter to throw on your GPP LUs.
Underdog drama of this week — Tony Martin ($7,400)
This is the best odds worth on the card. Currently, Laflare is lined at -135 and Tony Martin is lined at +115. However, on DraftKings Laflare is priced $1,400 higher than Martin. I enjoy looking for line value like that and that alone puts Martin in drama in most formats. Martin also has the better odds to finish this battle ITD, so that is another and with him. I like the floor for Martin in money games as well because Laflare is not very likely to complete if he wins. So, at $7.4k, we could afford a reduction from Martin and take the things he could rack up in 15-minutes.
Fade of this week — Sergio Pettis ($8,600)
Sergio Pettis could get the win here. But he’s going to need to acquire a end to repay his $8.6k price . Sergio will not be heading for almost any takedowns in this battle, and he doesn’t strike a high enough rate for him to find 10x of the $8.6k. Sergio are the better fighter around the feet, but when he doesn’t get an end he then likely only scores 60-70 points at a win. Those low scores do not cut it in $8.6k. There are only better plays points each dollar and those are the men I’ll be targeting. Sergio is a solid fade if you’re making 20 or less lineups this weekend.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:

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